麻豆影院

With Election Day 2024 right around the corner, a new survey finds that 72% of Coloradans believe that elections in the state will be 鈥渃onducted fairly and accurately鈥濃�攁lthough that confidence in the voting process dips for national elections.

The findings come from the ninth annual Colorado Political Climate Survey, an effort to gauge the pulse of state voters. This year, the survey team polled 800 Coloradans on a range of issues鈥攆rom how they may vote on a suite of ballot measures to their views on abortion, the economy, immigration and more. 听

鈥淭his is our ninth annual study of Colorado鈥攚e intend for these studies to help benchmark opinions and trends in the state,鈥� said Anand Edward Sokhey, a co-author of the survey and professor in the Department of Political Science.

The survey was led by the American Politics Research Lab at CU听麻豆影院 and carried out by the polling firm YouGov. Respondents completed the 10-to-12 minute survey online in the second half of October. For questions addressing the presidential race and state ballot measures, the team used a smaller number of respondents, or about 750 people, and weighted results to reflect likely voters in the state. The margin of error is about plus or minus 4.5%. For other opinion items, the team used all 800 respondents and weighted results to be representative of adult Coloradans. The margin of error is about plus or minus 4.4%.

At the top of the ticket, Kamala Harris led Donald Trump among likely Colorado voters by 55% to 41%. The results also revealed a considerable gender divide: Among likely voters, women supported Harris 59% by 37%, while men leaned toward听Harris by 50% to 45%.

Election under the microscope

According to the survey, Coloradans hold mixed views on the nation鈥檚 electoral process. For the presidential election, 66% of the Colorado public agreed with the statement: 鈥淚f my preferred candidate does not win, I will view the winner as legitimate.鈥� Fourteen percent disagreed, and 20% weren鈥檛 sure. Those responses dovetailed with partisanship, with 83% of Democrats agreeing听but only 52% of Republicans and 59% of Independents agreeing.听

In a troubling sign, 66% of respondents reported that they were worried that violence could break out on or after Election Day. But less than 40% of people were concerned that such violence could emerge in Colorado.

This year, the economy is top of mind for Coloradans from all political parties鈥攁 finding that has been consistent across recent iterations of the Colorado Political Climate Survey. Thirty-three percent of respondents ranked economic conditions in the state as 鈥渆xcellent鈥� or 鈥済ood,鈥� while 28% labeled it 鈥渁verage鈥� and 39% 鈥渇air鈥� or 鈥減oor.鈥� Those views also aligned with party affiliation, with 52% of Democrats adopting a positive outlook on the economy, but only 16% of Republicans and 24% of Independents feeling the same.

Majorities from all parties reported that they were 鈥渧ery concerned鈥� or 鈥渃oncerned鈥� about the cost of living in Colorado.

Ballot measures

The survey also dove into a host of hot-button ballot measures in the state.

Likely voters favored Amendment 79, which would make abortion a constitutional right鈥攚ith 58% in favor, 32% opposed and 10% unsure. Because this measure would amend Colorado鈥檚 constitution, it requires 55% of the vote to pass.听

Ballot measures removing language from the constitution, in contrast, require a simple majority to pass. They include Amendment J, which would repeal language in the state constitution defining marriage as the union between one man and one woman. (Same-sex marriage is already legal in Colorado due to federal and state rulings declaring bans unconstitutional). Survey respondents favored Amendment J by 54% to 37%, with 9% undecided.

Coloradans also seem to be developing a little fatigue with all those bubbles they need to fill out: A majority of survey respondents felt that there are too many questions on the state鈥檚 ballot. 听 听

鈥淲e ask a lot of voters in some years, and this year was especially burdensome鈥攎any people鈥檚 ballots were multiple pages, front and back, which requires considerable time and effort,鈥� Sokhey said.听