This page lists all of the peer鈥搑eviewed articles (published or in press) that are listed in reverse chronological order here, but organized loosely by theme. The high-level themes include dynamics of climate variability & change, equatorial ocean circulation, climate impacts on tropical marine ecosystems, paleoclimate, tropical cyclones, climate and health, and other climate impacts.

DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY & CHANGE

GENERAL

Ganguly, I., A. O. Gonzalez, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2024: On the Role of Wind鈥揈vaporation鈥揝ST Feedbacks in the Subseasonal Variability of the East Pacific ITCZ.听J. Climate,听37(1), 129鈥143, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0849.1.

Capotondi, A., and Coauthors, 2023: Mechanisms of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability.听Nature Reviews Earth & Environment,听4, 754鈥769, doi: 10.1038/s43017-023-00486-x.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2022: A Simple Coupled Model of the Wind鈥揈vaporation鈥揝ST Feedback with a Role for Stability. J. Climate, 35(7), 2149鈥2160, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0895.1.

Amaya, D. J., M. G. Jacox, J. Dias, M. A. Alexander, K. B. Karnauskas, J. D. Scott, and M. Gehne, 2022: Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast skill in the California Current System and its connection to coastal Kelvin waves. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 127(1), e2021JC017892, doi: 10.1029/2021JC017892.

Zhang, L., W. Han, K. B. Karnauskas, Y. Li, and T. Tozuka, 2022: Eastward Shift of Interannual Climate Variability in the South Indian Ocean since 1950. J. Climate, 35(2), 561鈥575, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0356.1.

Samanta, D., N. F. Goodkin, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2021: Volume and heat transport in the South China Sea and Maritime Continent at present and the end of the 21st century. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 126(9), e2020JC016901, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016901.

Amaya, D. J., M. A. Alexander, A. Capotondi, C. Deser, K. B. Karnauskas, A. J. Miller, and N. J. Mantua, 2021: Are Long-Term Changes in Mixed Layer Depth Influencing North Pacific Marine Heatwaves? [in 鈥淓xplaining Extremes of 2019 from a Climate Perspective鈥漖. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102(1), S59鈥揝66, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0144.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., L. Zhang, and D. J. Amaya, 2021: The Atmospheric Response to North Atlantic SST Trends, 1870鈥2019. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48(2), e2020GL090677, doi: 10.1029/2020GL090677.

Samanta, D., K. B. Karnauskas, and N. F. Goodkin, 2019: Tropical Pacific SST and ITCZ Biases in Climate Models: Double Trouble for Future Rainfall Projections? Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 2242鈥2252, doi: 10.1029/2018GL081363.

Samanta, D., K. B. Karnauskas, N. F. Goodkin, S. Coats, J. E. Smerdon, and L. Zhang, 2018: Coupled model biases breed spurious low鈥揻requency variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 10609鈥10618, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079455.

Maroon, E. A., J. E. Kay, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2018: Influence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature response to radiative forcing. J. Climate, 31, 9207鈥9224, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0900.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., and B. H. Jones, 2018: The interannual variability of sea surface temperature in the Red Sea from 35 years of satellite and in situ observations. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 123, 5824鈥5841, doi: 10.1029/2017JC013320.

Zhang, L., K. B. Karnauskas, J. B. Weiss, and L. M. Polvani, 2018: Observational Evidence of the Downstream Impact on Tropical Rainfall from Stratospheric Kelvin Waves. Clim. Dyn., 50, 3775鈥3782, doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3844-1.

DeCarlo, T. M., K. B. Karnauskas, K. A. Davis, and G. T. F. Wong, 2015: Climate modulates internal wave activity in the Northern South China Sea. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42(3), 831鈥838, doi: 10.1002/2014GL062522.

Maloney, E., and Coauthors, 2014: North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of Twenty鈥揊irst Century projections. J. Climate, 27(6), 2230鈥2270, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1.

Sheffield, J., and Coauthors, 2013: North American climate in CMIP5 experiments. Part II: Evaluation of historical simulations of intraseasonal to decadal variability. J. Climate, 26(23), 9247鈥9290, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., J. E. Smerdon, R. Seager, and J. F. Gonzalez鈥揜ouco, 2012: A Pacific centennial oscillation predicted by coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25(17), 5943鈥5961, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., and A. J. Busalacchi, 2009: Mechanisms for the interannual variability of SST in the east Pacific warm pool. J. Climate, 22(6), 1375鈥1392, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2467.1.

ENSO

Wei, H.鈥揌., A. C. Subramanian, K. B. Karnauskas, D. Du, M. A. Balmaseda, B. B. Sarojini, F. Vitart, C. A. DeMott, and M. R. Mazloff, 2023: The role of in-situ ocean data assimilation in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts of SST and MLD over the tropical Pacific Ocean.听Quarterly J. Royal Meteorol. Soc.,听149(757), 3513鈥3524, doi: 10.1002/qj.4570.

Sanchez, S. C., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2021: Diversity in the persistence of El Ni帽o events over the last millennium. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48(18), e2021GL093698, doi: 10.1029/2021GL093698.

Wei, H.鈥揌., A. C. Subramanian, K. B. Karnauskas, C. A. DeMott, M. R. Mazloff, and M. A. Balmaseda, 2021: Tropical Pacific Air-sea Interaction Processes and Biases in CESM2 and their Relation to El Ni帽o Development. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 126(6), e2020JC016967, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016967.

Gao, C., R.鈥揌. Zhang, K. B. Karnauskas, L. Zhang, and F. Tian, 2020: Separating freshwater flux effects on ENSO in a hybrid coupled model of the tropical Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 54, 4605鈥4626, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05245-y.

Samanta, D., B. Rajagopalan, K. B. Karnauskas, L. Zhang, and N. F. Goodkin, 2020: La Ni帽a's Diminishing Fingerprint on the Central Indian Summer Monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47(2), e2019GL086237, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086237.

Lemmon, D. E., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2019: A metric for quantifying El Ni帽o pattern diversity with implications for ENSO鈥搈ean state interaction. Clim. Dyn., 52, 7511鈥7523, doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4194-3.

Capotondi, A., A. T. Wittenberg, M. Newman, E. Di Lorenzo, J.鈥揧. Yu, P. Braconnot, J. Cole, B. Dewitte, B. Giese, E. Guilyardi, F.鈥揊. Jin, K. Karnauskas, B. Kirtman, T. Lee, N. Schneider, Y. Xue, and S.鈥揥. Yeh, 2015: Understanding ENSO diversity. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96(6), 921鈥938, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00117.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2013: Can we distinguish canonical El Ni帽o from Modoki? Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(19), 5246鈥5251, doi: 10.1002/grl.51007.

COUPLED RESPONSE OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC TO RADIATIVE FORCING

Zhang, L., W. Han, K. B. Karnauskas, G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, N. Rosenbloom, and T. Shinoda, 2019: Indian Ocean Warming Trend Reduces Pacific Warming Response to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gases: An Interbasin Thermostat Mechanism. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 10882鈥10890, doi: 10.1029/2019GL084088.

Zhang, L., D.鈥揨. Sun and K. B. Karnauskas, 2019: The Role of the Indian Ocean in Determining the Tropical Pacific SST Response to Radiative Forcing in an Idealized Model. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 86, 1鈥9, doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.02.003.

Coats, S., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2018: A role for the Equatorial Undercurrent in the ocean dynamical thermostat. J. Climate, 31, 6245鈥6261, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0513.1.

Coats, S., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2017: Are simulated and observed 20th century tropical Pacific sea surface temperature trends significant relative to internal variability? Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 9928鈥9937, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074622.

Zhang, L., and K. B.听 Karnauskas, 2017: The Role of Tropical Interbasin SST Gradients in Forcing Walker Circulation Trends. J. Climate, 30(2), 499鈥508, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0349.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., R. Seager, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir, and M. A. Cane, 2009: Observed strengthening of the zonal sea surface temperature gradient across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 22(16), 4316鈥4321, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2936.1.

HADLEY CIRCULATION

Staten, P. W., K. M. Grise, S. M. Davis, K. B. Karnauskas, D. W. Waugh, A. Maycock, Q. Fu, K. Cook, O. Adam, I. R. Simpson, R. J. Allen, K. Rosenlof, G. Chen, C. C. Ummenhofer, X.鈥揥. Quan, J. P. Kossin, N. A. Davis, and S.鈥揥. Soon, 2020: Tropical widening: From global variations to regional impacts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, E897鈥揈904, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0047.1.

Staten, P. W., K. M. Grise, S. M. Davis, N. A. Davis, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2019: Regional widening of tropical overturning鈥揻orced change, natural variability, and recent trends. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揂tmospheres, 124, 6104鈥6119, doi: 10.1029/2018JD030100.

Grise, K. M., S. M. Davis, I. R. Simpson, D. W. Waugh, Q. Fu, R. J. Allen, K. H. Rosenlof, C. C. Ummenhofer, K. B. Karnauskas, A. C. Maycock, X. Quan, T. Birner, and P. W. Staten, 2019: Recent Tropical Expansion: Natural Variability or Forced Response? J. Climate, 32, 1551鈥1571, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0444.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., and C. C. Ummenhofer, 2014: On the dynamics of the Hadley circulation and subtropical drying. Clim. Dyn., 42(9鈥10), 2259鈥2269, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2129-1.

HYDROCLIMATE

Livneh, B., N. R. Bjarke, P. A. Modi, A. Furman, D. Ficklin, J. M. Pflug, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2024: Can precipitation intermittency predict flooding? Sci. of the Total Env., 945, 173824, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173824.

Karnauskas, K. B., A. Giannini, R. Seager, and A. J. Busalacchi, 2013: A simple mechanism for the climatological midsummer drought along the Pacific coast of Central America. 础迟尘贸蝉蹿别谤补, 26(2), 261鈥281, doi: 10.1016/S0187-6236(13)71075-0.

Karnauskas, K. B., and A. J. Busalacchi, 2009: The role of SST in the east Pacific warm pool in the interannual variability of Central American rainfall. J. Climate, 22(10), 2605鈥2623, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2468.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., A. Ruiz鈥揃arradas, S. Nigam, and A. J. Busalacchi, 2008: North American droughts in ERA鈥40 global and NCEP North American regional reanalyses: A Palmer Drought Severity Index perspective. J. Climate, 21(10), 2102鈥2123, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1837.1.

SEA LEVEL

Samanta, D., V. Vairagi, K. Richter, E. L. McDonagh, K. B. Karnauskas, N. F. Goodkin, L. Y. Chew, and B. P. Horton, 2024: The role of anthropogenic forcings on historical sea鈥搇evel change in the Indo鈥揚acific warm pool region.听Earth鈥檚 Future,听12(3), e2023EF003684, doi: e2023EF003684.

Hamlington, B. D., S. H. Cheon, C. G. Piecuch, K. B. Karnauskas, P. R. Thompson, K.鈥揧. Kim, J. T. Reager, F. W. Landerer, and T. Frederiske, 2019: The dominant global modes of recent internal sea level variability. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 124, 2750鈥2768, doi: 10.1029/2018JC014635.

Hamlington, B. D., J. T. Reager, M.鈥揌. Lo, K. B. Karnauskas, and R. R. Leben, 2017: Separating decadal global water cycle variability from sea level rise. Scientific Reports, 7, 995, doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-00875-5.

SALINITY-BASED RAINFALL PREDICTION

Li, L., R. W. Schmitt, C. C. Ummenhofer, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2016: North Atlantic salinity as a predictor of Sahel rainfall. Science Advances, 2(5), e1501588, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1501588.

Li, L., R. W. Schmitt, C. C. Ummenhofer, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2016: Implications of North Atlantic Sea Surface Salinity for Summer Precipitation over the US Midwest: Mechanisms and Predictive Value. J. Climate, 29(9), 3143鈥3159, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0520.1.

CENTRAL AMERICAN GAP WINDS

Karnauskas, K. B., A. J. Busalacchi, and R. Murtugudde, 2008: Low鈥揻requency variability and remote forcing of gap winds over the east Pacific warm pool. J. Climate, 21(19), 4901鈥4918, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI1771.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2014: Arctic forcing of decadal variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean in a high鈥搑esolution global coupled GCM. Clim. Dyn., 42(11鈥12), 3375鈥3388, doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1836-3.

ANTARCTICA

Trusel, L. D., K. E. Frey, S. B. Das, K. B. Karnauskas, P. K. Munneke, E. van Meijgaard, and M. R. van den Broeke, 2015: Divergent trajectories of Antarctic surface melt under two twenty鈥揻irst鈥揷entury climate scenarios. Nature Geoscience, 8, 927鈥932, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2563.

Criscitiello, A. S., S. B. Das, K. B. Karnauskas, M. J. Evans, K. E. Frey, I. Joughin, E. J. Steig, J. R. McConnell, and B. Medley, 2014: Tropical Pacific influence on source and transport of marine aerosols to West Antarctica. J. Climate, 27(3), 1343鈥1363, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00148.1.


EQUATORIAL OCEAN CIRCULATION

GENERAL

Karnauskas, K. B., and D. Giglio, 2022: Argo reveals the scales and provenance of equatorial island upwelling systems. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49(16), e2022GL098744, doi: 10.1029/2022GL098744.

Karnauskas, K. B., G. C. Johnson, and R. Murtugudde, 2017: On the climate impacts of atolls in the central equatorial Pacific. Int. J. Climatol., 37(1), 197鈥203, doi: 10.1002/joc.4697.

Leslie, W. R., K. B. Karnauskas, and J. H. Witting, 2014: The Equatorial Undercurrent and TAO sampling bias from a decade at SEA. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 31(9), 2015鈥2025, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00262.1 (paper), 10.1575/1912/6746 (data), 10.1175/JTECH-D-14-00187.1 (corrigendum).

Drenkard, E. J., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2014: Strengthening of the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent in the SODA ocean reanalysis: Mechanisms, ocean dynamics, and implications. J. Climate, 27(6), 2405鈥2416, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00359.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., G. C. Johnson, and R. Murtugudde, 2012: An equatorial ocean bottleneck in global climate models. J. Climate, 25(1), 343鈥349, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00059.1.

UNDERWATER GLIDERS

Jakoboski, J., R. E. Todd, W. B. Owens, K. B. Karnauskas, and D. L. Rudnick, 2022: Potential Vorticity and Instability in the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent West of the Gal谩pagos Archipelago. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 52(8), 1927鈥1943, doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-21-0124.1.

Rudnick, D. L., W. B. Owens, T. M. S. Johnston, K. B. Karnauskas, J. Jakoboski, and R. E. Todd, 2021: The equatorial current system west of the Gal谩pagos Islands during the 2014鈥2016 El Ni帽o as observed by underwater gliders. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 51(1), 3鈥17, doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-20-0064.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., J. Jakoboski, T. M. S. Johnston, W. B. Owens, D. L. Rudnick, and R. E. Todd, 2020: The Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent in Three Generations of Global Climate Models and Glider Observations. J. Geophys. Res.鈥揙ceans, 125(11), e2020JC016609, doi: 10.1029/2020JC016609.

Jakoboski, J. K., R. E. Todd, W. B. Owens, K. B. Karnauskas, and D. L. Rudnick, 2020: Bifurcation and Upwelling of the Equatorial Undercurrent West of the Gal谩pagos Archipelago. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 50, 887鈥905, doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-19-0110.1.

GALAPAGOS

Warms, M., K. B. Karnauskas, and D. Samanta, 2024: Intercomparison of ocean temperature and circulation near the Gal谩pagos Islands in high鈥搑esolution models and observations. Prog. Oceanogr., 227, 103301, doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103301.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2022: Whither Warming in the Gal谩pagos? PLOS Climate, 1(9), e0000056, doi: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000056.

Karnauskas, K. B., R. Murtugudde, and W. B. Owens, 2014: Climate and the Global Reach of the Gal谩pagos Archipelago: State of the Knowledge, in The Gal谩pagos: A Natural Laboratory for the Earth Sciences (eds K. S. Harpp, E. Mittelstaedt, N. d'Ozouville and D. W. Graham), John Wiley & Sons, Inc, Hoboken, New Jersey, doi: 10.1002/9781118852538.ch11.

Karnauskas, K. B., R. Murtugudde, and A. J. Busalacchi, 2010: Observing the Gal谩pagos鈥揈UC interaction: Insights and challenges. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 40(12), 2768鈥2777, doi: 10.1175/2010JPO4461.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., R. Murtugudde, and A. J. Busalacchi, 2008: The effect of the Gal谩pagos Islands on ENSO in forced ocean and hybrid coupled models. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38(11), 2519鈥2534, doi: 10.1175/2008JPO3848.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., R. Murtugudde, and A. J. Busalacchi, 2007: The effect of the Gal谩pagos Islands on the equatorial Pacific cold tongue. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 37(5), 1266鈥1281, doi: 10.1175/JPO3048.1.


CLIMATE IMPACTS ON TROPICAL MARINE ECOSYSTEMS

Gadeken, K. R., M. B. Joseph, J. McGlinchy, K. B. Karnauskas, and C. C. Wall, 2021: Predicting subsurface sonar observations with satellite-derived ocean surface data in the California Current Ecosystem. PLoS One, 16(8), e0248297, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248297.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2020: Physical Diagnosis of the 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching Event. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47(11), e2019GL086177, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086177.

Karnauskas, K. B., A. L. Cohen, and J. M. Gove, 2016: Mitigation of Coral Reef Warming Across the Central Pacific by the Equatorial Undercurrent: A Past and Future Divide. Scientific Reports, 6, 21213, doi: 10.1038/srep21213.

Kendall, M. S., M. Poti, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2016: Climate change and larval鈥搕ransport in the ocean: Fractional effects from physical and physiological factors. Glob. Chang. Biol., 22, 1532鈥1547, doi: 10.1111/gcb.13159.

Karnauskas, K. B., S. Jenouvrier, C. W. Brown, and R. Murtugudde, 2015: Strong sea surface cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific and implications for Gal谩pagos Penguin conservation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42(15), 6432鈥6437, doi: 10.1002/2015GL064456.

Gierach, M. M., M. Messi茅, T. Lee, K. B. Karnauskas, and M.鈥揌. Radenac, 2013: Biophysical Responses near Equatorial Islands in the Western Pacific Ocean during El Ni帽o/La Ni帽a Transitions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(20), 5473鈥5479, doi: 10.1002/2013GL057828.

Karnauskas, K. B., and A. L. Cohen, 2012: Equatorial refuge amid tropical warming. Nature Climate Change, 2(7), 530鈥534, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1499.

Cantin, N. E., A. L. Cohen, K. B. Karnauskas, A. M. Tarrant, and D. C. McCorkle, 2010: Ocean warming slows coral growth in the central Red Sea. Science, 329(5989), 322鈥325, doi: 10.1126/science.1190182.


PALEOCLIMATE

Amaya, D. J., A. M. Seltzer, K. B. Karnauskas, J. M. Lora, X. Zhang, and P. N. DiNezio, 2022: Air-sea coupling shapes North American hydroclimate response to ice sheets. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 578, doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2021.117271.

Goodkin, N. F., D. Samanta, A. Bolton, M. R. M. Ong, P. K. Hoang, S. T. Vo, K. B. Karnauskas, and K. A. Hughen, 2021: Natural and Anthropogenic Forcing of Multi-decadal to Centennial Scale Variability of Sea Surface Temperature in the South China Sea. Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol., 36(10), e2021PA004233, doi: 10.1029/2021PA004233.

Goodkin, N. F., A. Bolton, K. A. Hughen, K. B. Karnauskas, S. Griffin, K. H. Phan, S. T. Vo, M. R. Ong, and E. R. M. Druffel, 2019: East Asian Monsoon Variability since the 16th Century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 4790鈥4798, doi: 10.1029/2019GL081939.

Bryan, S. P., K. A. Hughen, K. B. Karnauskas, and J. T. Farrar, 2019: Two Hundred Fifty Years of Reconstructed South Asian Summer Monsoon Intensity and Decadal鈥揝cale Variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 3927鈥3935, doi: 10.1029/2018GL081593.

Karnauskas, K. B., E. Mittelstaedt, and R. Murtugudde, 2017: Paleoceanography of the eastern equatorial Pacific over the past 4 million years and the geologic origins of modern Gal谩pagos upwelling. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 460, 22鈥28, doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.12.005.

Coats, S., J. E. Smerdon, Karnauskas, K. B., and R. Seager, 2016: The improbable but unexceptional occurrence of megadrought clustering in the American West during the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 074025, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074025.

Karnauskas, K. B., A. L. Cohen, and E. J. Drenkard, 2015: Comment on 鈥淓quatorial Pacific coral geochemical records show recent weakening of the Walker Circulation鈥 by J. Carilli et al. Paleoceanography, 30(5), 570鈥574, doi: 10.1002/2014PA002753.

Newby, P. E., B. N. Shuman, J. P. Donnelly, K. B. Karnauskas, and J. Marsicek, 2014: Centennial鈥搕o鈥揗illennial Hydrologic Trends and Variability along the North Atlantic Coast, U.S.A., during the Holocene. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41(12), 4300鈥4307, doi: 10.1002/2014GL060183.


TROPICAL CYCLONES

Murray, E. J., J. Dunion, K. B. Karnauskas, Z. Wang, and J. A. Zhang, 2024: Cloud Height Distributions and the Role of Vertical Mixing in the Tropical Cyclone Eye Derived from Compact Raman Lidar Observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51(14), e2024GL108515, doi: 10.1029/2024GL108515.

Karnauskas, K. B., U. K. Heede, and L. Zhang, 2023: The impact of eastern Pacific warming on future North Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis.听Geophys. Res. Lett.,听50(17), e2023GL105551, doi: 10.1029/2023GL105551.

Karnauskas, K. B., L. Zhang, and K. Emanuel, 2021: The feedback of cold wakes on tropical cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48(7), e2020GL091676, doi: 10.1029/2020GL091676.

Bramante, J., M. Ford, P. Kench, A. Ashton, M. Toomey, R. Sullivan, K. B. Karnauskas, C. C. Ummenhofer, and J. P. Donnelly, 2020: Increased typhoon activity in the Pacific deep tropics driven by Little Ice Age circulation changes. Nature Geoscience, 13, 806鈥811, doi: 10.1038/s41561-020-00656-2.

Zhang, L., T. Rechtman, K. B. Karnauskas, L. Li, J. P. Donnelly, and J. P. Kossin, 2017: Longwave Emission Trends over Africa and Implications for Atlantic Hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 9075鈥9083, doi: 10.1002/2017GL073869.

Zhang, L., K. B.听 Karnauskas, J. P. Donnelly, and K. Emanuel, 2017: Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models. J. Climate, 30(4), 1233鈥1243, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0496.1.

Karnauskas, K. B., and L. Li, 2016: Predicting Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity using outgoing longwave radiation over Africa. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43(13), 7152鈥7159, doi: 10.1002/2016GL069792.

Karnauskas, K. B., 2006: The African meridional OLR contrast as a diagnostic for Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and implications for predictability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33(6), L06809, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024865.


CLIMATE AND HEALTH

Buchwald, A. G., E. Thomas, K. B. Karnauskas, E. Grover, K. Kotloff, and E. J. Carlton, 2022: The association between rainfall, temperature, and reported drinking water source: A multi-country analysis. GeoHealth, 6(11), e2022GH000605, doi: 10.1029/2022GH000605.

Harp, R. D., J. M. Colborn, B. Candrinho, K. L. Colborn, L. Zhang, and K. B. Karnauskas, 2021: Interannual Climate Variability and Malaria in Mozambique. GeoHealth, 5(2), e2020GH000322, doi: 10.1029/2020GH000322.

Karnauskas, K. B., S. L. Miller, and A. C. Schapiro, 2020: Fossil fuel combustion is driving indoor CO2 toward levels harmful to human cognition. GeoHealth, 4(5), e2019GH000237, doi: 10.1029/2019GH000237.

Harp, R. D., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2020: Global Warming to Increase Violent Crime in the United States. Environ. Res. Lett., 15(3), 034039, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b37.

Harp, R. D., and K. B. Karnauskas, 2018: The Influence of Interannual Climate Variability on Regional Violent Crime Rates in the United States. GeoHealth, 2, 356鈥369, doi: 10.1029/2018GH000152.


OTHER CLIMATE IMPACTS

FRESHWATER STRESS ON ISLAND NATIONS

Karnauskas, K. B., C.鈥揊. Schleussner, J. P. Donnelly, and K. J. Anchukaitis, 2018: Freshwater Stress on Small Island Developing States: Population Projections and Aridity Changes at 1.5掳C and 2掳C. Reg. Environ. Change, 18, 2273鈥2282, doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1331-9.

Karnauskas, K. B., J. P. Donnelly, and K. J. Anchukaitis, 2016: Future Freshwater Stress for Island Populations. Nature Climate Change, 6, 720鈥725, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2987.

ET CETERA

Karnauskas, K. B., J. K. Lundquist, and L. Zhang, 2018: Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions. Nature Geoscience, 11, 38鈥43, doi: 10.1038/s41561-017-0029-9.

Karnauskas, K. B., J. P. Donnelly, H. C. Barkley, and J. E. Martin, 2015: Coupling between Air Travel and Climate. Nature Climate Change, 5, 1068鈥1073, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2715.